Solved on Jan 19, 2024

A company estimates 0.9%0.9\% of products fail within 2 years after warranty. Replacement cost is $500\$ 500. What is the expected value of a $80\$ 80 2-year extended warranty?

STEP 1

Assumptions
1. The failure rate of the products after the original warranty period but within 2 years is 0.9%0.9\%.
2. The replacement cost for a failed product is $500\$500.
3. The cost of the extended warranty is $80\$80.
4. The expected value is calculated as the average outcome, considering the probabilities of the different possible outcomes.

STEP 2

We need to calculate the expected cost to the company for each product that fails after the original warranty period but within 2 years. This is done by multiplying the probability of failure by the replacement cost.
Expectedcostoffailure=Failurerate×ReplacementcostExpected\, cost\, of\, failure = Failure\, rate \times Replacement\, cost

STEP 3

Convert the failure rate percentage to a decimal value.
0.9%=0.9100=0.0090.9\% = \frac{0.9}{100} = 0.009

STEP 4

Now, plug in the given values for the failure rate and the replacement cost to calculate the expected cost of failure.
Expectedcostoffailure=0.009×$500Expected\, cost\, of\, failure = 0.009 \times \$500

STEP 5

Calculate the expected cost of failure.
Expectedcostoffailure=0.009×$500=$4.50Expected\, cost\, of\, failure = 0.009 \times \$500 = \$4.50

STEP 6

Next, we need to calculate the expected profit from selling one extended warranty. This is the cost of the warranty minus the expected cost of failure.
Expectedprofit=WarrantycostExpectedcostoffailureExpected\, profit = Warranty\, cost - Expected\, cost\, of\, failure

STEP 7

Plug in the values for the warranty cost and the expected cost of failure to calculate the expected profit.
Expectedprofit=$80$4.50Expected\, profit = \$80 - \$4.50

STEP 8

Calculate the expected profit.
Expectedprofit=$80$4.50=$75.50Expected\, profit = \$80 - \$4.50 = \$75.50
The company's expected value of each warranty sold is $75.50 \$75.50.

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