Math  /  Data & Statistics

QuestionThe lengths of pregnancies in a small rural village is a normally distributed random variable X with a mean of 266 days and a standard deviation of 15 days.
What percentage of pregnancies last beyond 244 days? Enter answer as a decimal, round to 2 decimal places P(X>244 days )=P(X>244 \text { days })= \square Question Help: Video

Studdy Solution

STEP 1

What is this asking? What proportion of pregnancies in this village last longer than 244 days, given that the lengths of pregnancies follow a normal distribution? Watch out! Don't forget to convert the number of days to a *z*-score before looking up the probability in the *z*-table!
Also, remember that the *z*-table gives the probability to the *left* of a *z*-score, so we'll need to do a little subtraction to get the probability to the *right*.

STEP 2

1. Calculate the *z*-score.
2. Find the probability associated with the *z*-score.
3. Calculate the probability of a pregnancy lasting longer than 244 days.

STEP 3

We **start** by calculating the *z*-score.
The *z*-score tells us how many **standard deviations** a particular value is away from the **mean**.
The formula for the *z*-score is:
z=xμσ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} Where xx is the value we're interested in (in this case, 244\textbf{244} days), μ\mu is the **mean** (266\textbf{266} days), and σ\sigma is the **standard deviation** (15\textbf{15} days).

STEP 4

Let's **plug in** our values:
z=24426615 z = \frac{244 - 266}{15}

STEP 5

**Simplifying** the numerator:
z=2215 z = \frac{-22}{15}

STEP 6

**Calculating** the division:
z1.47 z \approx -1.47 So, 244 days is approximately **1.47 standard deviations below** the mean pregnancy length.

STEP 7

Now, we need to find the probability associated with a *z*-score of -1.47\textbf{-1.47}.
We can look this up in a *z*-table (or use a calculator).
The *z*-table tells us the probability of a value being *less than* a given *z*-score.

STEP 8

Looking up z=1.47z = -1.47 in the *z*-table, we find a probability of approximately 0.0708\textbf{0.0708}.
This means that there's a 7.08% chance of a pregnancy lasting *less than* 244 days.

STEP 9

Since we want the probability of a pregnancy lasting *longer* than 244 days, we need to subtract the probability we just found from 1.
Remember, the total probability under the normal distribution curve is always 1.

STEP 10

**Calculation:**
P(X>244)=1P(X<244) P(X > 244) = 1 - P(X < 244) P(X>244)=10.0708 P(X > 244) = 1 - 0.0708 P(X>244)0.9292 P(X > 244) \approx 0.9292

STEP 11

Approximately 0.93\textbf{0.93} or **93%** of pregnancies in this village last longer than 244 days.

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