Math  /  Algebra

QuestionA logistic growth model for world population, f(x)\mathrm{f}(\mathrm{x}), in billions, x years after 1976 is f(x)=12.571+4.11e0.026x\mathrm{f}(\mathrm{x})=\frac{12.57}{1+4.11 e^{-0.026 x}}. According to this model, when will the world population be 12 billion?
According to this model, the world population will be 12 billion in \square (Round to the nearest whole number as needed.)

Studdy Solution

STEP 1

1. The logistic growth model is given by the function f(x)=12.571+4.11e0.026x \mathrm{f}(\mathrm{x}) = \frac{12.57}{1 + 4.11 e^{-0.026 x}} .
2. We need to find the value of x x when f(x)=12 \mathrm{f}(\mathrm{x}) = 12 .
3. The solution will be rounded to the nearest whole number.

STEP 2

1. Set the logistic function equal to 12.
2. Isolate the exponential term.
3. Solve for x x .
4. Round the solution to the nearest whole number.

STEP 3

Set the logistic growth function equal to 12:
12.571+4.11e0.026x=12 \frac{12.57}{1 + 4.11 e^{-0.026 x}} = 12

STEP 4

Multiply both sides by 1+4.11e0.026x 1 + 4.11 e^{-0.026 x} to eliminate the denominator:
12.57=12(1+4.11e0.026x) 12.57 = 12(1 + 4.11 e^{-0.026 x})

STEP 5

Distribute the 12 on the right side:
12.57=12+49.32e0.026x 12.57 = 12 + 49.32 e^{-0.026 x}

STEP 6

Subtract 12 from both sides to isolate the exponential term:
0.57=49.32e0.026x 0.57 = 49.32 e^{-0.026 x}

STEP 7

Divide both sides by 49.32 to solve for the exponential term:
e0.026x=0.5749.32 e^{-0.026 x} = \frac{0.57}{49.32}

STEP 8

Calculate the right side:
e0.026x0.011556 e^{-0.026 x} \approx 0.011556

STEP 9

Take the natural logarithm of both sides to solve for x x :
0.026x=ln(0.011556) -0.026 x = \ln(0.011556)

STEP 10

Calculate the natural logarithm:
0.026x4.4602 -0.026 x \approx -4.4602

STEP 11

Divide both sides by 0.026-0.026 to solve for x x :
x4.46020.026 x \approx \frac{-4.4602}{-0.026}

STEP 12

Calculate the value of x x :
x171.54 x \approx 171.54

STEP 13

Round the value of x x to the nearest whole number:
x172 x \approx 172
According to this model, the world population will be 12 billion in 172 \boxed{172} years after 1976, which is the year 1976 + 172 = 2148.

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