Math  /  Data & Statistics

Question5 pts 1 Details
The numbers of online applications from simple random samples of college applications for 2004 and for the 2008 were taken. In 2004, out of 658 applications, 290 of them were completed online. In 2008, out of 236 applications, 118 of them were completed online. Test the claim that the proportion of online applications in 2004 was equal to the proportion of online applications in 2008 at the .025 significance level.
Claim: Select an answer which corresponds to Select an answerv Opposite: Select an answer which corresponds to Select an answer
The test is: Select an answer The test statistic is: z=z= \square (to 2 decimals)
The critical value is: z=z= \square (to 2 decimals)
Based on this we: Select an answer \square Conclusion There Select an answer appear to be enough evidence to support the claim that the proportion of online applications in 2004 was equal to the proportion of online applications in 2008.

Studdy Solution

STEP 1

What is this asking? Are the percentages of online college applications the same in 2004 and 2008? Watch out! Don't mix up the years or the number of online vs. total applications!

STEP 2

1. Set up the hypothesis test
2. Calculate the pooled proportion
3. Calculate the test statistic
4. Find the critical value
5. Make a decision

STEP 3

We're testing if the proportions are *equal*, so our **null hypothesis** H0H_0 is p2004=p2008p_{2004} = p_{2008}.
The **alternative hypothesis** H1H_1 is p2004p2008p_{2004} \ne p_{2008}.
This is a **two-tailed test** because we're looking for *any* difference, not just if one is greater than the other.

STEP 4

The **significance level** is α=0.025\alpha = 0.025.
This means there's a 2.5% chance we'll reject the null hypothesis even if it's true.
It's like setting the sensitivity on our difference-detector!

STEP 5

The **pooled proportion** is like a weighted average of the two proportions, pretending they're actually the same.
It's a useful tool for this type of test!
The formula is: p^=x2004+x2008n2004+n2008 \hat{p} = \frac{x_{2004} + x_{2008}}{n_{2004} + n_{2008}} Where xx represents the number of online applications and nn represents the total number of applications.

STEP 6

Let's plug in the numbers: x2004=290x_{2004} = \textbf{290}, n2004=658n_{2004} = \textbf{658}, x2008=118x_{2008} = \textbf{118}, and n2008=236n_{2008} = \textbf{236}. p^=290+118658+236=4088940.456 \hat{p} = \frac{290 + 118}{658 + 236} = \frac{408}{894} \approx \textbf{0.456} So, our **pooled proportion** is approximately 0.456\textbf{0.456}.

STEP 7

The **test statistic**, often called "z", tells us how far apart our observed proportions are from what we'd expect if the null hypothesis were true.
Here's the formula: z=p^2004p^2008p^(1p^)(1n2004+1n2008) z = \frac{\hat{p}_{2004} - \hat{p}_{2008}}{\sqrt{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})(\frac{1}{n_{2004}} + \frac{1}{n_{2008}})}}

STEP 8

First, let's calculate the individual proportions: p^2004=2906580.441\hat{p}_{2004} = \frac{290}{658} \approx \textbf{0.441} and p^2008=1182360.500\hat{p}_{2008} = \frac{118}{236} \approx \textbf{0.500}.

STEP 9

Now, plug everything into the z-score formula: z=0.4410.5000.456(10.456)(1658+1236)0.0590.4560.5440.00570.0590.038-1.55 z = \frac{0.441 - 0.500}{\sqrt{0.456(1 - 0.456)(\frac{1}{658} + \frac{1}{236})}} \approx \frac{-0.059}{\sqrt{0.456 \cdot 0.544 \cdot 0.0057}} \approx \frac{-0.059}{0.038} \approx \textbf{-1.55} Our **test statistic** is approximately -1.55\textbf{-1.55}.

STEP 10

The **critical value** is like a cutoff point.
If our test statistic is beyond this value, it's so unlikely that we reject the null hypothesis.
Since this is a two-tailed test with α=0.025\alpha = 0.025, we'll look up the critical value for α2=0.0125\frac{\alpha}{2} = 0.0125 in a z-table (or use a calculator).

STEP 11

The **critical value** for a two-tailed test at α=0.025\alpha = 0.025 is approximately ±2.24\textbf{±2.24}.

STEP 12

Our **test statistic** (1.55-1.55) is between the **critical values** (2.24-2.24 and 2.242.24).
This means it's not extreme enough to reject the null hypothesis.

STEP 13

The test statistic is z-1.55z \approx \textbf{-1.55}.
The critical value is z±2.24z \approx \textbf{±2.24}.
We **fail to reject** the null hypothesis.
There does **not** appear to be enough evidence to reject the claim that the proportion of online applications in 2004 was equal to the proportion of online applications in 2008.

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